TI8 Main Event Day 5: Odds, Analyses, Predictions

TI8 Main Event Day 5 will see OG and Evil Geniuses try to continue their run in the upper bracket and lower bracket, respectively, of the TI main stage. 

As predicted earlier, Evil Geniuses are back to their winning ways. Or at least, back to when Virtus.Pro couldn’t even win a single game against them. Apparently, all it took to bring the old Evil Geniuses back was for two of their former rivals in Tal ‘Fly‘ Aizik and Gustav ‘s4‘ Magnusson to come join the roster and show them the way.

Now that they’ve swept the four-time Major champions and runaway leaders of the 2017-18 Dota Pro Circuit, Evil Geniuses have now secured a Top 4 finish.

Heading into the TI8 Main Event Day 5, the boys in blue are waiting to see which of Team Liquid and Team Secret they are going to face off against next in the lower brackets. But, before that happens, we’re going to see s4 and Fly’s former squad, the darlings of The International 2018, OG, try and see if they can pull off another upset, this time against the Chinese powerhouse, PSG.LGD.

With only five Dota 2 teams remaining — two of which were dark horses heading into the tournament — the TI8 Main Event Day 5 is going to be one heck of a day regardless of how it ends.

All odds courtesy of GGbet.

TI8 Main Event Day 5: Lower Brackets

Team Secret vs Team Liquid

TI8 Main Event Day 5

Ever so confident, Puppey will finally get a chance to add another Top 4 finish at a TI to his resume after making it to the Grand Finals for three years in a row in the early years of Dota 2. (Valve)

Match Schedule: August 25, 0100H (UTC+8)

One of the few Dota 2 teams to have outplayed and out-drafted Team Liquid in a series, Team Secret boast the necessary talent, experience, and skill on their roster to end the reigning champion’s run tomorrow in the TI8 main event Day 5. The only question is, which Team Secret are we going to see heading into tomorrow’s matchup?

Team Secret have always been rather unpredictable since Clement ‘Puppey‘ Ivanov formed the team some three or four years ago, often going for off-meta picks and unorthodox play that either ends up in a spectacular win or a head-scratching loss.

After a convincing sweep against VGJ.Storm, however, there’s enough reason to believe that Puppey has found a compromise if only temporarily, as evidenced by their wins with Meepo and Terrorblade on Marcus ‘Ace‘ Hoelgaard, which they surrounded and paired with meta heroes like Silencer, Vengeful Spirit, and Clinkz, among others.

Of course, Team Secret are still up against a team that’s a nightmare to draft and play, but with PSG.LGD showing how to beat Team Liquid at their own game, it’s not too far fetched to say that Team Secret have a legitimate shot at advancing tomorrow.

Betting:Team Secret to win at 2.99 odds. (GGbet)

Evil Geniuses vs TBA

TI8 Main Event Day 5

Calm, collected, and focused, Evil Geniuses are on a quest to complete their lower bracket run and become the first Dota 2 organization to win a TI twice. (Valve)

Match Schedule: August 25, 0700H (UTC+8)

If our predictions stay true, then we’ll see Team Secret and Evil Geniuses meet for a rematch, and just like before, it will most likely end in favour of the latter.

From what we’ve seen so far, Evil Geniuses are capable of making the necessary adjustments from game to game and series to series. That means a lot for a team that only formed a few months ago. And though Team Secret (or Team Liquid, if ever we’re wrong) will likely be carrying some serious momentum tomorrow in the TI8 main event Day 5, the fact remains that Evil Geniuses will have had a lot of time to prepare for whoever they’re going to end up facing.

That alone helps heavily tilt this series towards Evil Geniuses’ favour.

TI8 Main Event Day 5: Upper Brackets

OG vs PSG.LGD

TI8 Main Event Day 5

Possessing a winning record against both Virtus.Pro and Team Liquid, PSG.LGD have shown that they are a force to be reckoned with since they started surging up the standings during the second half of the 2017-18 Dota Pro Circuit. (Valve)

Match Schedule: August 25, 0400H (UTC+8)

We’d love to say that OG are clear underdogs here, but they have been all tournament long, and yet, here they are, staring at the very real possibility of them securing a berth in the Grand Finals. For a team rostering two relatively unproven players in Topias ‘Topson‘ Taavitsainen and Sébastien ‘ceb‘ Debs, as well as a sophomore who was on hiatus until as recently as a few months ago in Anathan ‘ana‘ Pham, this is more than a lot that they could have hoped for.

Of course, if we stick strictly to Dota 2, the Chinese powerhouse should have this one in the bag.

PSG.LGD are as good as any when it comes to the laning stage and their drafting has been on point so far. They’re also a much more proven team who most likely will not be making the same mistakes that Evil Geniuses and VGJ.Storm made that allowed OG to make this Cinderella run.

We may have PSG.LGD pegged as the winners here, but we expect a tightly contested series between these two Dota 2 teams.

Betting: Odd in Odd/Even Maps at 2.15 odds. (GGbet)

Which of teams do you think will make it out of the TI8 main event Day 5 and into the last day of the tournament? Do you think Team Liquid’s run will end here? Be sure to let us know your thoughts in the comments down below.

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