The Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1: Odds, Analyses, Predictions

The Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1 will kick off the main event, with two teams already on the brink of elimination in the lower brackets.

After two days of group stage action, we’re finally headed to the playoffs, and as expected, the top teams of TI8 have emerged on top of their respective groups.

Virtus.Pro (5th-6th), PSG.LGD (2nd),and Evil Geniuses (3rd), all won their groups quite handily. The same goes for Team Secret, who, despite the roster change after their Top 6 finish at TI8, have so far proven that they are one of the best, if not the best Dota 2 team in the tournament.

As for the rest of the field, this tournament has proven just how far they have to go to become legitimate contenders. Vici Gaming, for example, dropped rather quickly to Evil Geniuses. Ditto for Fnatic. Both are teams believed by many on the cusp of climbing the hierarchy, and yet, fell way short when facing the titans of the scene. But, then again, the tournament has barely begun, and with more than a week of action left, anything can still happen, including the four top seeds falling to an upset and being prevented from making a deep run.

Having said that, let’s get right on to our picks for the Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1.

Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1

Team Secret vs Vici Gaming

Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1

Now playing with a smaller hero pool, Team Secret seem to have finally figured out what works best for their current lineup. (ESL Dota 2)

Match Schedule: November 11, 2018 — 1300H SGT

A rematch of the ESL One Hamburg 2018 Grand Finals where Team Secret needed the full five games to beat Vici Gaming, you’d expect this series to be particularly close. Except, you’d probably be wrong.

Team Secret are looking like a different team right now. As opposed to their more “experimental” approach, Team Secret have upped the ante, or so to speak, tightening their draft lineups and picking heroes that they know will work instead of risking a loss to find out if something works or not.

While we can’t 100% predict what Clement ‘Puppey‘ Ivanov will draft for his team tomorrow, the evidence so far suggests that he won’t be drafting his team into a corner, which is bad news for Vici Gaming. 

Betting: Correct Score 2:0 (IN MAPS) in favour of Team Secret 2.36 odds. (GGbet)

PSG.LGD vs Alliance

Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1

So long as these two playmakers are in top form, PSG.LGD have what it takes to go toe-to-toe against any team in the world. (PSG.LGD)

Match Schedule: November 11, 2018 — 1600H SGT

Alliance managed to take a game off of Virtus.Pro before beating pain X and Forward Gaming, which suggests that they’re starting to get better as the tournament goes. This shouldn’t come off as a surprise though. Even if the squad has played together for quite some time, they haven’t been to as many LANs together yet, and this is their first DPC LAN.

Unfortunately, after such a resilient group stage showing, they’ll have to start their playoff run up against arguably the best Dota 2 team in the tournament. Although Alliance should be good enough to take at least a game off of PSG.LGD, they just don’t have what it takes yet to win a series against this good of a team.

Betting: Correct Score 2:1 (IN MAPS) in favour of PSG.LGD at 3.64 odds. (GGbet)

paiN Gaming vs TNC Predator

Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1

The South American organization have improved a lot the past few months and with Rasmus ‘Misery’ Filipsen now as their captain, paiN Gaming are no longer the type of team that should be underestimated. (Pain Gaming)

Match Schedule: November 11, 2018 — 1900H SGT

Normally, we would’ve picked TNC Predator over any other team in a Bo1. That was their “shtick”, or so to speak, last season. However, since they changed their roster, the All-Filipino squad has lacked their signature playstyle where they would willingly take seemingly ill-advised fights and somehow walk away as the victors, often all in an effort to make space for their cores, specifically for their former carry Marco Polo Luis ‘Raven‘ Fausto.

On the other hand, paiN Gaming boasts the kind of chemistry that TNC Predator used to have; they’re a team that’s playing like they’re having fun, regardless of whether they win or lose.

Unless TNC Predator finds a way to remedy their problems on such short notice, paiN Gaming should be the ones to take this series and live for another day.

Betting: paiN Gaming to win at 2.2 odds. (GGbet)

Tigers vs paiN X

Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1

While Tigers will need to improve significantly if they want to win the Kuala Lumpur Major, a small improvement can help them make a deep run. (DreamLeague)

Match Schedule: November 11, 2018 — 2000H SGT

paiN X are clearly a step below the teams in this tournament, and the only way they can take a game off of anyone, Tigers included, is if they extend the game and play for the late game with a late-game oriented lineup.

While that probably would’ve worked against some of the teams here in the tournament, Tigers know how to play against that, having beaten Royal Never Give Up twice at the DreamLeague Season 10 Minor to qualify for the Kuala Lumpur Major.

Betting: Under 36.5 minutes on Map 1 Game time Over/Under at 2.36 odds. (GGbet)

All Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1 odds courtesy of GGbet.

What do you think of our picks for the Kuala Lumpur Major Playoffs Day 1? Which teams do you think will find themselves on the wrong end of an upset? Be sure to let us know your thoughts in the comments down below.

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