Four teams — Team Secret, CompLexity Gaming, Vici Gaming, and Mineski — will duke it out tomorrow in Day 1 of the Perfect World Shanghai Minor Playoffs, but only 1 team will walk out having secured a Top 4 finish and some much-needed Qualifying Points while the rest will have to test their luck at the fickle and hostile best-of-one waters of the lower brackets.
With that said, we’ve put in the time to compare previous head-to-head matchups and have done the necessary additional research to give you a better idea of which of the four teams playing tomorrow has the best chance of reaching Top 4.
According to bet365, Vici Gaming are the favourites to win the Perfect World Shanghai Minor at 3/1 odds. Although, they’re not exactly clear-cut winners, as LFY and Newbee are close behind at 4/1 odds while Team Secret are not too far away at 5/1 odds.
Odds aside, however, Vici Gaming easily passes the eye test as the best Dota 2 team playing in the tournament. And, unless Newbee decides to go forgo their conservative style or LFY come up big in their first Pro Circuit LAN of the season, Zhang ‘LaNm‘ Zhicheng and his team should have, not just a Top 4 finish, but the entire tournament in the bag.
Betting: Vici Gaming to win against Mineski 1/2 (bet365); to win 2-1 at 2/1 (bet365)
There’s not much history to uncover here; Team Secret last went up against CompLexity Gaming back in July of 2016 at Starladder i-League Starseries S2, when Clement ‘Puppey‘ Ivanov and Jacky ‘EternaLEnVy‘ Mao were still pretty much the best of buddies. Even worse, you’d have to dig back to the Frankfurt Major in 2015 for the last time both Team Secret and Vici Gaming went head to head.
Their match history against Mineski is no good either; they’ve met only once this season, and that was earlier during the group stages where they split their series 1-1. But much of that’s moot right now, considering that Team Secret are playing with a stand-in in Chen ‘Cty‘ Tianyu.
Lucky for them, Cty is probably the best carry player to play around in such short notice. He and Marcus ‘Ace‘ Hoelgaard should have no problem in the laning phase against CompLexity Gaming, which is huge in the current meta. And even though Team Secret have historically struggled against teams who like to run at their opponents, Kyle ‘Kyle‘ Freedman and his team are neither as disciplined as Team Liquid nor as relentless as Virtus Pro to give Puppey and co that big of a problem.
Barring an unlikely upset, Team Secret’s real challenge should come against either Mineski or Vici Gaming later in the day. These three pretty much mirror each other as far as play style goes. And, with Team Secret playing with a stand-in, who doesn’t even speak English at that, the smallest of mistakes could prove fatal against both teams.
Betting: Team Secret to win 2-0 at 13/8 (bet365)
Mineski are struggling. Really, they are.
Not to take away credit from TNC Pro Team and Fnatic for stepping up their level of play, but with Mineski playing like it’s still 7.06, they’re a notch below from their days last month when people claimed that they were right up there among the best in the world along with Virtus Pro, Team Secret and as some claimed, even Team Liquid.
Fortunately, Mineski have the right personnel to try and figure out how to play in the current meta — like letting Daryl Koh ‘iceiceice‘ Pei Xiang play like the godly playmaker that he is instead of having him play farm-intensive heroes, for starters. But, as things are right now, it’s starting to look like that the Perfect World Shanghai Minor isn’t the tournament where Mineski will find out what works best for them.
Betting: Mineski to win at least 1 map at 4/9 odds (bet365)
A lot of things have to go right for CompLexity Gaming for them to make it to Top 4, starting with Team Secret and Cty not being on the same page for two games in a row. But, save for the occasional misplays typically associated with playing with a substitute, Cty and Team Secret have mostly been on point.
Besides, even if CompLexity Gaming does somehow make it through Team Secret, they’ll have to face off against either Mineski or Vici Gaming. They have a good chance against the former, if only because they’re struggling in the current meta. However, Vici Gaming just gave them a good 2-0 drubbing at the group stages, which pretty much seals any chance of CompLexity Gaming staying in the upper brackets for long.
Betting: CompLexity first to get to 15 kills in Map 1 at 1/1 odds (bet365)
Which team do you think will move on to the upper bracket finals of the Perfect World Shanghai Minor tomorrow? Be sure to let us know your thoughts in the comments down below.