Neither Evil Geniuses nor Ninjas in Pyjamas have been particularly dominant at the MDL Disneyland Paris Major 2019. However, both have played well enough to secure a Top 6 finish after beating powerhouses in Team Liquid and Vici Gaming, respectively.
Now, all that stands between both Dota 2 teams and a Top 3 finish is each other.
Who’s more favoured? Who are we betting on to win? Don’t worry, we’ve got you covered.
Below, we’ll break down the odds for the matchup between Evil Geniuses and Ninjas in Pyjamas, with a prediction on who we think will win at the end.
Evil Geniuses vs Ninjas in Pyjamas — What Do The Odds Say?
According to the oddsmakers over at esports betting site 10bet, Evil Geniuses are a 1.37 odds favourite to win against Ninjas in Pyjamas (bet $100 to win $137). Meanwhile, Ninjas in Pyjamas are 3.00 odds underdogs (bet $100 to win $300).
Based on the odds alone, the matchup should be quite lopsided.
What the odds do not account for, however, is the fact that Ninjas in Pyjamas are helmed by Peter ‘ppd‘ Dager
ppd is the former poster boy of NA dotes if he still isn’t. More importantly, he was the captain of Evil Geniuses for three straight years, guiding them to two Top 3 finishes at a TI (TI4 and TI6) and a win (TI5). He eventually left the organization at the start of the 2017-18 Dota Pro Circuit, first playing for OpTic Gaming before forming a different squad to play under the Ninjas in Pyjamas banner this season.
While the Evil Geniuses that ppd captained looked quite different from the current lineup — Artour ‘arteezy‘ Babaev and Sumail Syed ‘SumaiL‘ Hassan are the only players remaining on Evil Geniuses who played under ppd — the fact remains that no very few in the scene knows Evil Geniuses better than ppd does, giving him a significant edge that oddsmakers probably did not account for heading into the matchup.
Predictions for Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Evil Geniuses
The knack on Evil Geniuses since the inception of their current lineup is their draft. There’s no question that the boys in blue have enough talent in their lineup to make anything work. It’s just that, it’s not a conductive strategy against better opponents.
At the MDL Disneyland Paris Major 2019, Evil Geniuses are showing a lot of improvement in terms of how they draft.
Evil Geniuses still aren’t outdrafting their opponents, but they’re also no longer drafting themselves into a corner. However, up against Ninjas in Pyjamas, who recently won the OGA Dota Pit Minor, and are showing an excellent read of the current meta in Dota 2, they’ll need to step up their draft game a lot and we just don’t think they’ll be able to do it given the little time that they have.
Plus, this is ppd we are talking about. The man literally built Evil Geniuses’ Dota 2 squad and got it to where it is today.
ppd and the rest of Ninjas in Pyjamas have had the entire season to figure out what works for them or not and now that they have a better idea of how they should play together, which makes them worth risking on against Evil Geniuses.
Betting: Ninjas in Pyjamas to win vs Evil Geniuses at 3.00 odds via 10bet.