MDL Changsha Major Grand Finals: Odds, Analysis, Picks

A week full of Dota 2 action has finally come down to the MDL Changsha Major Grand Finals, where we’ll first see a lower-bracket clash between two of the best Dota 2 teams in China with VGJ.Storm awaiting the winners.

Everybody slept on VGJ.Storm’s potential before this tournament. After all, how could you put any weight on their win at GESC Thailand Dota 2 Minor? Team Secret were, by far, the best team there, and that’s saying something given their slump. But, alas, here we are, looking at the possibility that a team who’s not even eligible for a TI8 invite has a chance to win a Major.

We’re not here to talk about the storylines, however. Instead, we’re here to break down the stats and talk about which Dota 2 team will most likely take home the proverbial bacon tomorrow.

ViCi Gaming vs PSG.LGD

MDL Changsha Major Grand Finals

Pairing three veterans of the scene with two superstar cores have led to a lot of success for the current iteration of ViCi Gaming. (ViCi Gaming)

Match Schedule: May 20, 2018 (Sunday 13:00 CST)

If you never bothered to look at the brackets, you’d think that this was the MDL Changsha Major Grand Finals. After all, this is two of the best Dota 2 teams in China right now butting heads. But, it’s not. Still, this should be a matchup to watch, as both of these teams are carrying some serious momentum heading into the last day of the event.

For PSG.LGD, a win here will give them a chance to make history. If they win the tournament, they’ll join OG and Virtus.Pro as the only Dota 2 teams ever to win back-to-back Major tournaments. Meanwhile, for ViCi Gaming, making history is not on the cards, but a chance to inch closer to a TI8 invite is, and that’s arguably the more important thing.

When it comes to head to head matchups, these two teams are dead-even at 2-2 over the past two months. Though, that shouldn’t come off as a surprise. Their members match up pretty well, with their coaches among the most successful in all of Dota 2. 

Ultimately, we’ll have to go with ViCi Gaming here. PSG.LGD played 4 games over the past two days. On the other hand, ViCi Gaming played just one. Given how valuable intel is at times like these, ViCi Gaming have far more tape to study of PSG.LGD than the other way around. Not to mention, they’ve had more time to do so.

Betting: ViCi Gaming to win at 2.83 odds (GGbet)

Who Will Win the MDL Changsha Major Grand Finals?

VGJ.Storm clearly have the hype advantage. They’re underdogs, after all. Nobody expected them to go this far, beating the teams that they have. But, whether they’re going matchup against ViCi Gaming or PSG.LGD, our bets will be on the Chinese Dota 2 teams. Especially if it’s ViCi Gaming, as they’ll have two things to defend: their pride as hometown heroes and the fact that they should be the mother organization — both VGJ teams are still technically part of the ViCi Gaming organization.

If all goes according to our predictions, we should expect ViCi Gaming to finally get over the second-place hump and win their first title this season.

Which team do you think will emerge victorious at the MDL Changsha Major Grand Finals? Be sure to let us know your thoughts in the comments down below. 

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