The battle at the ESL One Mumbai 2019 rages on as we’re now down to the final five Dota 2 teams of the tournament.
Tomorrow, Mineski and Natus Vincere will wage battle in the Upper Brackets with a guaranteed Top 2 finish and a berth in the Grand Finals on the line. Nobody really expected these two Dota 2 teams to make it here. Most, including us, thought that this tournament was Keen Gaming’s and Team Team’s to lose. But, for whatever reason, both teams have fallen off, and although Keen Gaming are still in the tournament, they’ll have to win three straight matches with their backs against the walls in the Lower Brackets to make it to the Grand Finals.
With that said, let us try and focus our energies on the matchup between Mineski and Natus Vincere in the Upper Bracket Finals of the ESL One Mumbai 2019.
Natus Vincere vs Mineski – Match Analysis
Heading into their matchup, Natus Vincere have had the tougher road to get here. They’ve placed second in a group featuring the likes of TNC Predator, compLexity Gaming, and Team Team, as well as beat arguably the best Dota 2 team playing in the ESL One Mumbai 2019 in Keen Gaming.
This isn’t to say that Mineski’s not been tested yet, but when you compare the quality of opponents both teams have beaten, it’s clear that Mineski have had an easier time.
In terms of playstyle, both Dota 2 teams are relatively the same. They have mid players that excel on certain matchups, as well as stable hard carries that they can rely on in each game. They each also have offlaners that can play either a utility role or a core role, depending on what the team requires of them. However, what Natus Vincere doesn’t have that Mineski does is an X-factor player and warding.
Sure, Ryan ‘Bimbo‘ Jay Qui is out, but Kim ‘Febby‘ Yong-min provides close enough of an approximation of the high-risk, high-reward player that they’re basically the same thing. Meanwhile, Michael ‘ninjaboogie‘ Ross Jr., once again, brings his warding back to the table, which was an underrated aspect of Mineski’s success at various tournaments last year.
Trying to predict the outcome of matches between Dota 2 teams of similar skill and playstyle is an exercise in futility. It’s hard to get it right. Even if you do, it’s more of a luck thing than anything else. This is especially true when you consider that both Idan ‘MagicaL‘ Vardanian and Kam ‘Moon‘ Boon Seng have very similar hero pools.
MagicaL and Moon have both been pivotal to their respective team’s success so far. Given that both could end up cancelling each other out, this leaves the burden of having a good game to the other members of each respective team.
Given each team’s reputation for being inconsistent and how they’re both incapable of closing out games that they should have already won, it’s just a much smarter decision to look past who’s going to win and place your bets on the series lasting the entire three games.
Betting: Total Maps Played over 2.5 at 1.87 odds via ArcaneBet.