Astralis have yet to qualify for the ECS Season 4 Group matches and this week holds their last chance to do so. They have just four matches to play, and these are their only chance to stay in play in this series. Those four matches could potentially score twelve points, so if they manage to win even three, they retain their place in the event. Now, that sounds easy but the reality is anything but so, as two of those matches are against the current IEM Oakland Champions, Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Both Ninjas in Pyjamas and Astralis have their scores tied right now, at twenty-seven points. The only difference is that the Ninjas have no more matches left to play. NiP will score thirty-three points if they defeat Astralis, but this still doesn’t place them in the top four. Astralis will face GODSENT after the Ninjas. This would be Astralis’ best chance to score. If Astralis manage to score against GODSENT, but lose against the Ninjas, their scores will be tied at thirty-three. There is a chance that G2 Esports and mousesports may end with the same score, which would necessitate a tie breaker match between the four teams.
The first match of the day is Astralis Vs Ninjas in Pyjamas.
These team have fought in three matches against each other after NiP’s roster change, and two of those were online matches. Those matches were part of the ESL Pro League Season 6, and both those maps, Inferno and Nuke, were won by Astralis. Their most recent encounter was in the IEM Oakland group matches and since those were a LAN battle, the Ninjas obviously won against Astralis. You’ll note here that Astralis do seem to have the upper hand in online matches.
Team stats for online matches with their current roster.
With sixty four wins and thirty eight losses, Astralis have a sixty three percent chance of winning a match, and a fifty four percent chance to win a round. Ninjas in Pyjamas have participated in seventy two matches, and won forty of them, which gives them a win rate of fifty five percent per match and fifty two percent per round. These teams perfectly counter each other in the maps as well, which means both of them have a good chance to win at least one match out of the two upcoming matches. Astralis nevertheless is the potential winner here.
Astralis vs GODSENT – their best chance to qualify.
GODSENT are not in good form, with two of their active players being replaced by stand ins. This will be GODSENT’s first match after the changes. This is Astralis’ best chance to score and qualify for the group matches. GODSENT have only defeated Astralis two times since Astralis formed their new team last year in October.
GODSENT have participated in sixty two online matches, out of which they won just twenty-two. With a win rate of just thirty five percent, and forty five percent in rounds, GODSENT’s performances are certainly below average. There’s no doubt that Astralis have a sure win here, and the odds are running at around 1.30 on them.
These are the most carefully formulated match predictions, by analysts who thoroughly study team histories and playing styles. Stay tuned for more match-by-match analyses and predictions for this event. Don’t forget to follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest on your favourite Esports titles.